Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.164807 1.319930 1.489080 1.687392 1.913746 2.164316 2.463083
2026-01-25 0.905153 1.110752 1.354313 1.664875 2.051440 2.518195 3.126693
2026-02-01 0.750903 0.972899 1.251227 1.627277 2.124399 2.762259 3.647889
2026-02-08 0.643193 0.870616 1.169110 1.591833 2.178819 2.970525 4.128515
2026-02-15 0.577855 0.812436 1.132827 1.605606 2.291048 3.257142 4.736961
2026-02-22 0.519473 0.755210 1.088709 1.599114 2.368111 3.495484 5.295516
2026-03-01 0.467393 0.700264 1.040317 1.578222 2.417436 3.692683 5.807649
2026-03-08 0.414379 0.637884 0.973719 1.521050 2.402449 3.786254 6.162350
2026-03-15 0.381051 0.601897 0.942897 1.514741 2.464016 4.001952 6.732761
2026-03-22 0.367939 0.596073 0.957879 1.581933 2.649461 4.433710 7.709422
2026-03-29 0.341577 0.566131 0.930966 1.576491 2.711281 4.662536 8.355834
2026-04-05 0.323371 0.547910 0.921361 1.598695 2.821455 4.983047 9.198632
2026-04-12 0.298605 0.518789 0.894878 1.596546 2.902330 5.285271 10.095340
2026-04-19 0.272466 0.485256 0.858431 1.574491 2.948042 5.535617 10.942384
2026-04-26 0.247632 0.451363 0.817580 1.539057 2.963035 5.727341 11.695676
2026-05-03 0.226022 0.421141 0.780214 1.505634 2.977000 5.916747 12.467212
2026-05-10 0.212706 0.405120 0.767614 1.518622 3.084179 6.304105 13.711070
2026-05-17 0.198439 0.385830 0.746750 1.512500 3.150744 6.614227 14.827056
2026-05-24 0.184081 0.364971 0.720737 1.492799 3.185843 6.860479 15.831016
2026-05-31 0.167578 0.338272 0.680515 1.438881 3.140324 6.924278 16.414890
2026-06-07 0.157380 0.323583 0.663470 1.432931 3.200369 7.231237 17.628271
2026-06-14 0.154415 0.323735 0.677334 1.496298 3.425245 7.944379 19.956231
2026-06-21 0.145604 0.310580 0.661576 1.491167 3.489343 8.284538 21.377977